Sacramento State vs Northern Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:57 AM
  • Northern Arizona (7-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State (5-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Sacramento State / Northern Arizona TV channel: ESPN+

The Sacramento State Hornets (5-11) visit Walkup Skydome to take on the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (7-11) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Flagstaff, AZ.

Northern Arizona is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. Northern Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+2.5 -105O 135.5 -110+125
Northern Arizona -2.5 -115U 135.5 -110-155

Sacramento State vs Northern Arizona Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Arizona will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs Northern Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Sacramento State will cover the spread with 59.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 33 games (+7.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Northern Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 5-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.05 Units / -40.17% ROI).

  • 4-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -22.22% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI

Northern Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Arizona has a 7-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.95 Units / -25.19% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 27.92% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -25.63% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.35 Units / 16.96% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (204 rebounds/18 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.2

Sacramento State has 270 turnovers this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 509 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has averaged 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (509 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Northern Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Arizona has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (694 assists/ 584 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northern Arizona has averaged 11.2 turnovers per game (584 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Northern Arizona is shooting 43% (1,339/3,089) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Northern Arizona has 131 offensive rebounds this season — tied for 5th fewest among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (446 rebounds/18 games) this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Sacramento State has averaged 4.5 steals per game (227 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Sacramento State has forced 9.4 turnovers per game (469 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Sacramento State has averaged 24.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,203 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.2

Northern Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Arizona has averaged 5.4 steals per game (283 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Northern Arizona has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,145 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Northern Arizona has allowed an average of 1.36 points per shot (3,930 points/2,887 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Northern Arizona has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (1,372/2,887) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.