Sacramento State vs Northern Colorado Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 18

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Northern Colorado head coach Steve Smiley yells plays to his players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Houston. (AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
(AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 18, 2024, 12:19 PM
  • Northern Colorado (6-7) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State (4-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Sacramento State / Northern Colorado TV channel: ESPN+

The Sacramento State Hornets (4-11) visit Bank of Colorado Arena to take on the Northern Colorado Bears (6-7) on Jan. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Greeley, CO.

Northern Colorado is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Sacramento State vs. Northern Colorado Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. Northern Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+9.5 -110O 149.5 -110+375
Northern Colorado -9.5 -110U 149.5 -110-500

Sacramento State vs Northern Colorado Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Colorado will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs Northern Colorado Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Colorado will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 28 games (+2.25 Units / 7% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 4-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.05 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / -18.83% ROI

Northern Colorado Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Colorado has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.45 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 11-3 when betting the Over for +7.7 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 3-11 when betting the Under for -9.05 Units / -18.83% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (197 rebounds/17 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.3

Sacramento State has 502 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 262 turnovers this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has averaged 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (502 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Northern Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Colorado has 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 17.6

Northern Colorado has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (229 assists/ 184 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northern Colorado has averaged 11.5 turnovers per game (184 turnovers/16 games) this season — 5th highest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Northern Colorado has averaged 14.3 assists per game (229 assists/16 games) this season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 13.9

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,178 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.2

Sacramento State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (421 rebounds/17 games) this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Sacramento State has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (3,388 points/2,766 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 1.27

Sacramento State has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (1,219 points/965 shots) this season — tied for 5th highest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 1.25

Northern Colorado Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Colorado has averaged 24.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,182 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.2

Northern Colorado has 104 steals this season — tied for 5th fewest among Big Sky Teams

Northern Colorado has averaged 25.6 defensive rebounds per game (410 rebounds/16 games) this season — 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Northern Colorado has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (154/404) this season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.