Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

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Western Kentucky player number 13 defending the basketball from Louisiana Tech player number 22.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 01, 2024, 11:17 AM
  • Western Kentucky (10-7) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Sam Houston (9-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • Sam Houston / Western Kentucky TV channel: CBSSN

The Sam Houston Bearkats (9-9) visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (10-7) on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Bowling Green, KY.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Sam Houston vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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Sam Houston vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sam Houston+4.5 -110O 158.5 -105+165
Western Kentucky -4.5 -110U 158.5 -115-200

Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sam Houston vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Sam Houston will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sam Houston State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 away games (+2.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 away games (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+7.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Sam Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sam Houston has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.31% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -3.22% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Over for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Under for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 9-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 2.42% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Over for -4.05 Units / -21.43% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Under for +2.45 Units / 13.24% ROI

Sam Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sam Houston has a 25% free throw rate (252 free throw attempts/994 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 37%

Sam Houston has a TS% of 50% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Sam Houston has a 25% free throw rate (252 free throw attempts/994 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 37%

Sam Houston has a TS% of 50% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (693 assists/ 665 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Western Kentucky has made 386 three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Conference USA Teams

Western Kentucky is shooting 70% from the free throw line (710/1,013) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 70%

Western Kentucky is shooting 68% from the free throw line (282/412) this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Sam Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sam Houston has averaged 7.8 steals per game (420 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Sam Houston has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (106/364) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Sam Houston has averaged 7.8 steals per game (420 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Sam Houston has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (308/810) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has 361 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Conference USA Teams

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (154/504) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Western Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,832 points/3,294 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,372/3,294) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.