San Diego State vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 6

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Air Force head coach Joe Scott reacts in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against New Mexico in Albuquerque, N.M., Friday, Jan. 27, 2023.
(AP Photo/Eric Draper)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 06, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • San Diego State (8-12) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Air Force (7-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • San Diego State / Air Force TV channel: FS1

The San Diego State Aztecs (8-12) visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons (7-14) on Feb. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Colorado Springs, CO.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The San Diego State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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San Diego State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Diego State-9.5 -115O 133.5 -110-550
Air Force +9.5 -105U 133.5 -110+400

San Diego State vs Air Force Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this college basketball game with 85.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

San Diego State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+25.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 29 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 8-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.2 Units / -23.58% ROI).

  • 15-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.8 Units / 10.15% ROI
  • 12-8 when betting the Over for +3.2 Units / 14.58% ROI
  • 8-12 when betting the Under for -5.25 Units / -23.81% ROI

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 7-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -14.24% ROI
  • 15-6 when betting the Over for +8.4 Units / 36.52% ROI
  • 6-15 when betting the Under for -10.6 Units / -45.69% ROI

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

San Diego State is shooting 45% (582/1,295) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

San Diego State has a TS% of 47% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

San Diego State is shooting 32% from three (159/490) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force is shooting 37% from three (178/480) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Air Force is shooting 69% from the free throw line (232/338) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 72%

Air Force has averaged 68.2 points per game (1,364 points/20 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 75.7

Air Force has averaged 67.4 points per game (3,506 points/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.3

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (404/1,395) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (29/108) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (520/1,278) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,398/3,424) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/20 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.1

Air Force has averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,191 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.1

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (1,403 points/1,079 shots) this season — tied for highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Air Force has allowed 70.2 points per game (1,403 points/20 games) this season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.