San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2024, 11:21 AM
  • San Diego State (11-14) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (11-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • San Diego State / Fresno State TV channel: CBSSN

The San Diego State Aztecs (11-14) visit Save Mart Center to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (11-14) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Fresno, CA.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The San Diego State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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San Diego State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Diego State-13.5 -110O 136.5 -110-1100
Fresno State +13.5 -110U 136.5 -110+700

San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this college basketball game with 92.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

San Diego State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 37 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+3.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -15.97% ROI).

  • 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.8 Units / 9.92% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 6.92% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Under for -4.45 Units / -16.15% ROI

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -16% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -14.74% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

San Diego State has a TS% of 47% this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

San Diego State is shooting 45% (627/1,393) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

San Diego State has 22.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (298 assists/ 316 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (298 assists/ 316 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (680 assists/ 674 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Fresno State has 16.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (29/108) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (417/1,428) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,443/3,522) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (417/1,428) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (183/492) this season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (410/1,097) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (625/1,378) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Fresno State has forced 10.7 turnovers per game (247 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.