San Jose State vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 11:20 AM
  • Air Force (14-16) is a -2.5 point favorite vs San Jose State (18-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT

The San Jose State Spartans (18-12) visit Clune Arena to take on the Air Force Falcons (14-16) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Colorado Springs.

Air Force is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The San Jose State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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San Jose State vs. Air Force Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose State+2.5 -110O 128.5 -105+120
Air Force -2.5 -110U 128.5 -115-145

San Jose State vs Air Force Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 54.7% confidence.

San Jose State vs Air Force Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Jose State and Air Force, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • San José State have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 36 games (+16.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 33 games (+9.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • San José State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)

San Jose State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Jose State has gone 17-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI).

  • 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 21.9% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has gone 18-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.8 Units / 14.57% ROI).

  • 14-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -0.98% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Jose State has a 24% free throw rate (712 free throw attempts/2,943 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 32%

San Jose State has a TS% of 45% in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

San Jose State has attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts this season in conference play — most among Mountain West Teams

San Jose State is shooting 42% (289/680) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 46%

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 5.5 turnovers per game (88 turnovers/16 games) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 2.2

Air Force has averaged 4.8 turnovers per game (82 turnovers/17 games) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 3.3

Air Force has averaged 40.6 points per game (691 points/17 games) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53.2

Air Force has averaged 33.1 points per game (530 points/16 games) in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 20.2

San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Jose State has forced 7.7 turnovers per game (169 turnovers/22 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6

San Jose State has forced 9.3 turnovers per game (495 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

San Jose State has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,457 points/1,251 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

San Jose State has allowed 66.2 points per game (1,457 points/22 games) this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,127 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.5

Air Force has allowed 5.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Air Force has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (264/879) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Air Force has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (114/398) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.