San Jose State vs Fresno State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 16, 2024, 12:19 PM
  • Fresno State (5-10) is a -2.5 point favorite vs San Jose State (9-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • San Jose State / Fresno State TV channel: ESPN+

The San Jose State Spartans (9-7) visit Save Mart Center to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-10) on Jan. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Fresno, CA.

Fresno State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The San Jose State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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San Jose State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Jose State+2.5 -105O 136.5 -110+120
Fresno State -2.5 -115U 136.5 -110-145

San Jose State vs Fresno State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this college basketball game with 57.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

San Jose State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts San Jose State will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • San José State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+4.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • San José State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 away games (+1.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)

San Jose State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Jose State has a 8-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.8 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 12-4 when betting the Over for +7.6 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 4-12 when betting the Under for -9.2 Units / -100% ROI

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 5-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.05 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -100% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -100% ROI

San Jose State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Jose State has attempted 435 threes this season — most among Mountain West Teams

San Jose State has made 152 three-pointers this season — most among Mountain West Teams

San Jose State has made 8.9 three-pointers per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.2

San Jose State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (553/805) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73%

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State is shooting 32% from three (311/984) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Fresno State is shooting 64% from the free throw line (182/286) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 71%

Fresno State has averaged 1.21 points per shot (3,073 points/2,544 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Fresno State has averaged 65.4 points per game (3,073 points/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.2

San Jose State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Jose State has forced 9.3 turnovers per game (484 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5

San Jose State has averaged 5.6 steals per game (96 steals/17 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0

San Jose State has allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (1,225 points/978 shots) this season — tied for highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.19

San Jose State has averaged 4.6 steals per game (238 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (350/942) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has forced 11.1 turnovers per game (177 turnovers/16 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 13.0

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three (123/337) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 32%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (431/965) this season — tied for highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.