SMU vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

Florida Atlantic guard Johnell Davis (1) gets a basket on a dunk against Fairleigh Dickinson in the second half of a second-round college basketball game in the men's NCAA Tournament in Columbus, Ohio, Sunday, March 19, 2023. Florida Atlantic defeated Fairleigh Dickinson 78-70. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
  • Florida Atlantic (12-14) is a -6.5 point favorite vs SMU (14-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • SMU / Florida Atlantic TV channel: ESPN2

The SMU Mustangs (14-10) visit Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena to take on the Florida Atlantic Owls (12-14) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Boca Raton, FL.

Florida Atlantic is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The SMU vs. Florida Atlantic Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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SMU vs. Florida Atlantic Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
SMU+6.5 -105O 153.5 -110+225
Florida Atlantic -6.5 -115U 153.5 -110-275

SMU vs Florida Atlantic Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida Atlantic will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

SMU vs Florida Atlantic Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida Atlantic will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games (+8.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.60 Units / 6% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • SMU have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • SMU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 35 games (+22.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 38 games (+2.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Florida Atlantic has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 38 games (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)

SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

SMU has a 14-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.1 Units / 14.91% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 10.04% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -8.35% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -0.55% ROI

Florida Atlantic Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida Atlantic has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / -12.2% ROI).

  • 19-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 5.32% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.44% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.93% ROI

SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (386 assists/ 275 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

SMU has averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (329 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

SMU is shooting 68% from the free throw line (709/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

SMU has averaged 16.1 assists per game (386 assists/24 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Florida Atlantic Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida Atlantic has made 718 field goals this season — most among AAC Teams

Florida Atlantic has averaged 83.5 points per game (2,003 points/24 games) this season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

Florida Atlantic has an eFG% of 55% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Florida Atlantic is shooting 47% (1,802/3,823) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (27/107) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (552/1,407) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

SMU has averaged 7.8 steals per game (435 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

SMU has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,550 points/1,407 shots) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Florida Atlantic Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida Atlantic has averaged 7.8 steals per game (187 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Florida Atlantic has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,705 rebounds/63 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Florida Atlantic has 187 steals this season — 3rd most among AAC Teams

Florida Atlantic has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,566/3,766) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.