- SMU (14-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs South Florida (16-6)
- Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
- SMU / South Florida TV channel: ESPN2
The SMU Mustangs (14-11) visit Yuengling Center to take on the South Florida Bulls (16-6) on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Tampa, FL.
SMU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The SMU vs. South Florida Over/Under is 147.5 total points.
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SMU vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| SMU | -2.5 -110 | O 147.5 -115 | -145 |
| South Florida | +2.5 -110 | U 147.5 -105 | +120 |
SMU vs South Florida Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts SMU will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
SMU vs South Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence for today’s game.
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SMU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- SMU have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- SMU have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+4.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+3.25 Units / 19% ROI)
South Florida Basketball Best Bets Today:
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games (+3.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+2.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+0.85 Units / 3% ROI)
SMU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
SMU has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 10.49% ROI).
- 17-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.6 Units / 9.09% ROI
- 12-14 when betting the Over for -3.35 Units / -11.71% ROI
- 14-12 when betting the Under for +0.85 Units / 2.97% ROI
South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
South Florida has a 16-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+9.4 Units / 34.12% ROI).
- 19-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 4.8% ROI
- 8-17 when betting the Over for -10.7 Units / -38.84% ROI
- 17-8 when betting the Under for +8.25 Units / 30.05% ROI
SMU Offensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (386 assists/ 275 TOs) this season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
SMU has averaged 13.7 offensive rebounds per game (329 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9
SMU is shooting 68% from the free throw line (709/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%
SMU has averaged 16.1 assists per game (386 assists/24 games) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 13.2
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:
South Florida has averaged 72.9 points per game (3,866 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 73.6
South Florida is shooting 34% from three (408/1,202) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%
South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (714/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%
South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (714/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
SMU Defensive Stats & Trends:
SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 25% from three (27/107) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%
SMU has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (552/1,407) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%
SMU has averaged 7.8 steals per game (435 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
SMU has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (1,550 points/1,407 shots) this season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20
South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:
South Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (354 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.9
South Florida has 354 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among AAC Teams
South Florida has allowed 70.7 points per game (3,746 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 70.9
South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,294/3,018) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%
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