South Florida vs Tulsa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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Tulsa head coach Eric Konkol shouts directions to his team during an NCAA college basketball game between Houston and Tulsa on Tuesday, Dec. 29, 2020 in Tulsa, Okla.
(AP Photo/Dave Crenshaw)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:24 AM
  • South Florida (19-6) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Tulsa (13-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • South Florida / Tulsa TV channel: ESPN+

The South Florida Bulls (19-6) visit Donald W. Reynolds Center to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (13-13) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Tulsa, OK.

South Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The South Florida vs. Tulsa Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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South Florida vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
South Florida-4.5 -110O 146.5 -110-210
Tulsa +4.5 -110U 146.5 -110+170

South Florida vs Tulsa Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this college basketball game with 66.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

South Florida vs Tulsa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tulsa will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+13.65 Units / 119% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tulsa have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 19-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+12.4 Units / 40.19% ROI).

  • 22-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 9.02% ROI
  • 10-18 when betting the Over for -9.8 Units / -31.77% ROI
  • 18-10 when betting the Under for +7.05 Units / 22.93% ROI

Tulsa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tulsa has a 12-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / -7.48% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.38% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 5.84% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -14.61% ROI

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 72.9 points per game (3,866 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 73.6

South Florida is shooting 34% from three (408/1,202) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (714/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (714/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tulsa has averaged 13.7 turnovers per game (301 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Tulsa has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (613 assists/ 698 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tulsa is shooting 32% from three (403/1,268) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tulsa is shooting 32% from three (403/1,268) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (354 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

South Florida has 354 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has allowed 70.7 points per game (3,746 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 70.9

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,294/3,018) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Tulsa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tulsa has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (155/512) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tulsa has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (381/1,234) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tulsa has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (381/1,234) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tulsa has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (155/512) this season — tied for 2nd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.