- NIT Tournament First Round betting odds & predictions
- UCF (19-13) is a -4.5 point favorite vs South Florida (20-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
- South Florida / UCF TV channel: ESPN+
The South Florida Bulls (20-8) visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights (19-13) on Mar. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Orlando, FL.
UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-120).
The South Florida vs. UCF Over/Under is 140.5 total points.
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South Florida vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| South Florida | +4.5 +100 | O 140.5 -115 | + |
| UCF | -4.5 -120 | U 140.5 -105 | + |
South Florida vs UCF Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts UCF will win this college basketball game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
South Florida vs UCF Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Florida will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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South Florida Basketball Best Bets Today:
- South Florida has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 25 games (+25.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- South Florida have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- South Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.60 Units / 20% ROI)
UCF Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UCF have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 32 games (+1.60 Units / 2% ROI)
South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
South Florida has a 20-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+11.2 Units / 32.8% ROI).
- 23-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 5.58% ROI
- 12-19 when betting the Over for -8.9 Units / -26.06% ROI
- 19-12 when betting the Under for +5.85 Units / 17.18% ROI
UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UCF has a 19-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.85 Units / 17.16% ROI).
- 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -3.28% ROI
- 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.45 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.11% ROI
South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:
South Florida has averaged 72.9 points per game (3,866 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 73.6
South Florida is shooting 34% from three (408/1,202) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 34%
South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (714/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%
South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (714/1,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:
UCF is shooting 42% (945/2,253) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%
UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (248 assists/ 263 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
UCF is shooting 74% from the free throw line (763/1,027) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
UCF has 218 turnovers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd fewest among AAC Teams
South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:
South Florida has averaged 6.7 steals per game (354 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 6.9
South Florida has 354 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among AAC Teams
South Florida has allowed 70.7 points per game (3,746 points/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 70.9
South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,294/3,018) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%
UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:
UCF has 182 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams
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