Southern Utah vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

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Tarleton State head coach Billy Gillespie
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 25, 2024, 11:50 AM
  • Tarleton State (8-7) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Southern Utah (12-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Southern Utah / Tarleton State TV channel: ESPN+

The Southern Utah Thunderbirds (12-4) visit Wisdom Gym to take on the Tarleton State Texans (8-7) on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Stephenville, TX.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Southern Utah vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Southern Utah vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Southern Utah+6.5 -110O 146.5 -115+230
Tarleton State -6.5 -110U 146.5 -105-300

Southern Utah vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Southern Utah vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Southern Utah will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Southern Utah has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Southern Utah have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Southern Utah has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Southern Utah has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Southern Utah have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 18 away games (+1.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+1.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)

Southern Utah Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Utah has a 12-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.6 Units / 43.06% ROI).

  • 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -40.4% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting the Over for +5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting the Under for -7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 33.62% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting the Over for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting the Under for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI

Southern Utah Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Utah has 23.1 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Southern Utah has a 38% free throw rate (1,269 free throw attempts/3,385 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Southern Utah has averaged 80.9 points per game (4,448 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Southern Utah has averaged 1.31 points per shot (4,448 points/3,385 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has 21.9 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Tarleton State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (668 assists/ 602 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tarleton State has an eFG% of 49% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 51%

Southern Utah Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Utah has 383 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among WAC Teams

Southern Utah has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (387/1,134) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Southern Utah has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (1,535/3,355) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Southern Utah has allowed 75.9 points per game (4,177 points/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.0

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 20.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,082 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has averaged 9.4 steals per game (490 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Tarleton State has forced 16.2 turnovers per game (841 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Tarleton State has 490 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among WAC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.