The change of scenery transformed Beckham Jr.’s season and helped the Rams get to Super Bowl 56. Will OBJ shine on the big stage? According to the Super Bowl prop bets, the odds for Beckham Jr. to go over 5.5 receptions are +110.
Super Bowl 56 Info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 13, 2022
- Time: 6:30 PM EST
- Venue: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA
How many passes with OBJ catch on Sunday? Let’s look at his recent trends and how he matches up against the Cincinnati Bengals defense.
The Bengals Pass Defense Has Struggled
The Bengals pass defense allowed an average of 248.4 passing yards per game in the regular season. They did have relative success stopping Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game, allowing only 275 passing yards.
Those stats can be deceiving, though.
Mahomes torched the Bengals for 220 yards and had three touchdown passes in the first half. The second half saw Cincinnati claw back into the game while the Chiefs tried to hold their lead unsuccessfully. The Bengals only allowed the Chiefs to score three points in the second half and overtime. After halftime, Mahomes completed eight of his 18 pass attempts for 55 yards and two interceptions.
The Bengals were also 26th in opponent pass completion percentage (67.09%) during the season. Teams completed an average of 24.7 passes per game against Cincinnati, so OBJ should get plenty of opportunities.
Cooper Kupp Gets Attention
Rams WR Cooper Kupp led the NFL in receptions, yards, and touchdowns during the regular season. Opposing defenses are trying their best to slow him down during the playoffs.
While Kupp’s numbers haven’t dipped because of the extra attention from defenders, OBJ now has more room to shine.
During his eight regular-season games with the Rams, Beckham Jr. saw an average of six targets per game. His targets increased to 7.7 per game during the playoffs.
If the Bengals defense devotes too much attention to stopping Kupp, OBJ should find himself in favorable coverages, which means more balls thrown his way.
OBJ’s NFC Championship Performance
The NFC Championship Game was one of Beckham Jr’s finest hours as an NFL player. Against a rugged San Francisco 49ers‘ defense, OBJ caught nine passes for 113 yards.
His reception numbers increased in each playoff game this season. He caught four passes in the Wild Card round, six in the divisional round, followed by his electric performance in the NFC Championship.
There’s no reason to think these receiving trends won’t continue against a Bengals defense that has struggled against the pass this season.
How Many Receptions for Odell Beckham Jr.?
According to the current BetMGM odds, the number for Odell Beckham Jr.’s Super Bowl receptions is +110 for over 5.5.
Given the number of targets he’s seen so far in the playoffs and Cincinnati’s suspect pass defense, I think OBJ should go over 5.5. I believe that he’ll catch between six and nine passes this week.
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