TCU vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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Baylor basketball team coach.
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:51 PM
  • Baylor (11-5) is a -5.5 point favorite vs TCU (11-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • TCU / Baylor TV channel: ESPN2

The TCU Horned Frogs (11-8) visit Foster Pavillion to take on the Baylor Bears (11-5) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Waco, TX.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The TCU vs. Baylor Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+5.5 -115O 149.5 -110+170
Baylor -5.5 -105U 149.5 -110-210

TCU vs Baylor Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

TCU vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.75 Units / 4% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 11-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.43% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 11-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.5 Units / 29.41% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 7.44% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.05 Units / 0.26% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.85 Units / -10% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU shot 38% (24/64) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU shot 28% from three (62/224) in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor has made 9.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Baylor shot 39% from three (38/97) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Baylor is shooting 41% from three (162/396) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor has made 9.8 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 47% on catch and shoot opportunities (23/49) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 17% (4/23) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (42/148) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.