TCU vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 11:29 AM
  • Houston (14-15) is a -11.5 point favorite vs TCU (19-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • TCU / Houston TV channel: ESPN

The TCU Horned Frogs (19-13) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Houston Cougars (14-15) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (+100).

The TCU vs. Houston Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+11.5 -120O 137.5 -115+500
Houston -11.5 +100U 137.5 -105-700

TCU vs Houston Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this college basketball game with 83.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

TCU vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games (+16.85 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+4.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 19-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.7 Units / 13.33% ROI).

  • 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -3.42% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has a 15-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -1.17% ROI).

  • 19-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.9 Units / 10.16% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.75 Units / -19.82% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 10.83% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU shot 28% from three (62/224) in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU made 1.3 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.9

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.4

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Houston has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Houston has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (204 turnovers/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (370/1,315) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Houston has allowed 56.3 points per game (3,377 points/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Houston has averaged 10.1 steals per game (232 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Houston has allowed 30.1 points per game (693 points/23 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.