TCU vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 17, 2024, 8:08 AM
  • Kansas State (12-12) is a -1.5 point favorite vs TCU (14-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • TCU / Kansas State TV channel: ESPNU

The TCU Horned Frogs (14-10) visit Bramlage Coliseum to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (12-12) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Manhattan, KS.

Kansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The TCU vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+1.5 -110O 143.5 -110+105
Kansas State -1.5 -110U 143.5 -110-125

TCU vs Kansas State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

TCU vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+1.05 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.9 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.25 Units / -12.33% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 1.84% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -16.6% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 7.6% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU shot 28% from three (62/224) in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU made 1.3 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.9

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 129 three-pointers in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (287/952) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Kansas St. allowed an average of 1.51 points per shot (814 points/539 shots) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.35


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.