Tennessee vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:50 PM
  • Alabama (17-11) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Tennessee (14-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 170.5 points
  • Tennessee / Alabama TV channel: ESPN

The Tennessee Volunteers (14-13) visit Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (17-11) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Tuscaloosa, AL.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Tennessee vs. Alabama Over/Under is 170.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee+3.5 -105O 170.5 -110+150
Alabama -3.5 -115U 170.5 -110-185

Tennessee vs Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 57.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 games (+6.05 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.10 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 21 games at home (+9.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+6.35 Units / 5% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.25 Units / -0.81% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 0.89% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 9.08% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.55 Units / -18.05% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.81% ROI).

  • 16-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 2.05% ROI
  • 21-7 when betting the Over for +13.3 Units / 43.11% ROI
  • 7-21 when betting the Under for -16.05 Units / -52.2% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (664 assists/ 398 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (366 assists/ 219 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (967 assists/ 650 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (462 assists/ 292 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 11.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alabama has made 299 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has 1,790 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has attempted 871 threes in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed 57.6 points per game (2,073 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (357/1,273) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,180/3,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (707/1,990) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,492/3,790) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.