Tennessee State vs Little Rock Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 29

Darrell Walker Arkansas Little Rock
(AP Photo)
  • Little Rock (16-13) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Tennessee State (10-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Tennessee State / Little Rock TV channel: ESPNU

The Tennessee State Tigers (10-15) visit Jack Stephens Center to take on the Little Rock Trojans (16-13) on Feb. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Little Rock, AR.

Little Rock is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Tennessee State vs. Little Rock Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Tennessee State vs. Little Rock Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee State+8.5 -115O 146.5 -110+290
Little Rock -8.5 -105U 146.5 -110-375

Tennessee State vs Little Rock Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Little Rock will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee State vs Little Rock Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee State will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+3.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Little Rock have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Little Rock has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 20% ROI)

Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee State has a 10-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.6 Units / -23.91% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -1.16% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.45 Units / -16.15% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.92% ROI

Little Rock Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Little Rock has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.75 Units / 5.5% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 4.05% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI

Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has a TS% of 47% this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Tennessee State has averaged 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (193 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Tennessee State is shooting 34% from three (163/477) this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tennessee State has averaged 74.3 points per game (1,710 points/23 games) this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Little Rock Offensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has made 6.9 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Little Rock has averaged 14.7 assists per game (808 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.0

Little Rock has a TS% of 48% this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Little Rock has averaged 14.5 assists per game (348 assists/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (151 steals/23 games) this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Tennessee State has 151 steals this season — tied for 4th most among Ohio Valley Teams

Tennessee State has forced 13.6 turnovers per game (312 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 11.6

Tennessee State has forced 13.6 turnovers per game (312 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Little Rock Defensive Stats & Trends:

Little Rock has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (563 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Little Rock has allowed an average of 1.32 points per shot (4,289 points/3,258 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Little Rock has averaged 5.8 steals per game (140 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Little Rock has allowed 76.2 points per game (1,828 points/24 games) this season — 2nd highest among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 70.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.