Tennessee State vs Western Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 07, 2024, 1:31 PM
  • Western Illinois (14-12) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Tennessee State (11-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Tennessee State / Western Illinois TV channel: ESPN+

The Tennessee State Tigers (11-17) visit Ford Center to take on the Western Illinois Leathernecks (14-12) on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Evansville, IN.

Western Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Tennessee State vs. Western Illinois Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Tennessee State vs. Western Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee State+2.5 -105O 132.5 -110+125
Western Illinois -2.5 -115U 132.5 -110-155

Tennessee State vs Western Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Illinois will win this college basketball game with 57.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Tennessee State vs Western Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee State will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+4.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Tennessee State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 21 games (+19.10 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Western Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 22 games (+15.55 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Western Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)

Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee State has a 11-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.8 Units / -25.24% ROI).

  • 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -3.19% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -14.75% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 5.85% ROI

Western Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Illinois has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.95 Units / 3.21% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 24.57% ROI
  • 9-17 when betting the Over for -9.7 Units / -32.61% ROI
  • 17-9 when betting the Under for +7.15 Units / 24.11% ROI

Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has a TS% of 47% this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 46%

Tennessee State has averaged 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (193 rebounds/23 games) this season — 4th lowest among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Tennessee State is shooting 34% from three (163/477) this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Tennessee State has averaged 74.3 points per game (1,710 points/23 games) this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Western Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Illinois is shooting 60% from the free throw line (299/495) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Illinois has averaged 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (318 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Western Illinois is shooting 66% from the free throw line (691/1,055) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Western Illinois has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (151 steals/23 games) this season — 4th best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Tennessee State has 151 steals this season — tied for 4th most among Ohio Valley Teams

Tennessee State has forced 13.6 turnovers per game (312 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 11.6

Tennessee State has forced 13.6 turnovers per game (312 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Western Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Illinois has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (633 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Ohio Valley Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Western Illinois has averaged 5.4 steals per game (130 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Western Illinois has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,561 points/1,445 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Western Illinois has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,561 points/1,445 shots) this season — best among Ohio Valley Teams ; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.