- Arkansas State (9-5) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Texas State (5-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
- Texas State / Arkansas State TV channel: ESPN+
The Texas State Bobcats (5-8) visit First National Bank Arena to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (9-5) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Jonesboro, AR.
Arkansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Texas State vs. Arkansas State Over/Under is 143.5 total points.
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Texas State vs. Arkansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas State | +7.5 -115 | O 143.5 -110 | +240 |
| Arkansas State | -7.5 -105 | U 143.5 -110 | -300 |
Texas State vs Arkansas State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Texas State vs Arkansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Texas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games at home (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas State has a 5-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.8 Units / 0% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / 0% ROI
- 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / 0% ROI
- 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 0% ROI
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 10-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.65 Units / 0% ROI).
- 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / 0% ROI
- 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / 0% ROI
- 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 0% ROI
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Texas State has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (204 turnovers/15 games) this season — tied for 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 12.0
Texas State has averaged 10.9 assists per game (544 assists/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has made 10.5 three-pointers per game this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Arkansas State has an eFG% of 52% this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%
Arkansas State has a TS% of 48% this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 47%
Arkansas State is shooting 43% (1,189/2,750) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 44%
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,109 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0
Texas State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,109 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4
Texas State has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (3,391 points/2,654 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.21
Texas State has allowed 6.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (78 steals/15 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Arkansas State has averaged 6.2 steals per game (298 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State has averaged 24.9 defensive rebounds per game (374 rebounds/15 games) this season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Arkansas State has forced 9.6 turnovers per game (144 turnovers/15 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 12.5
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