Texas State vs James Madison Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2024, 12:21 PM
  • James Madison (17-13) is a -12.5 point favorite vs Texas State (17-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Texas State / James Madison TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (17-14) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the James Madison Dukes (17-13) on Mar. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Pensacola, FL.

James Madison is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Texas State vs. James Madison Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. James Madison Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+12.5 -115O 140.5 -115+600
James Madison -12.5 -105U 140.5 -105-900

Texas State vs James Madison Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts James Madison will win this college basketball game with 87.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas State vs James Madison Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+12.25 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Texas State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 27 games (+25.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 29% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • James Madison has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+3.90 Units / 15% ROI)

Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 17-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI).

  • 15-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 6.34% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI

James Madison Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

James Madison has a 17-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.65 Units / 7.75% ROI).

  • 24-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.3 Units / 13.13% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -16.47% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / 7.89% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has averaged 68.3 points per game (1,640 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.3

Texas State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5

James Madison Offensive Stats & Trends:

James Madison has averaged 85.7 points per game (1,970 points/23 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.3

James Madison has averaged 85.7 points per game (1,970 points/23 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0

James Madison has an eFG% of 55% this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

James Madison has averaged 82.9 points per game (4,642 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Texas State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Texas State has averaged 23.9 defensive rebounds per game (574 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (145/481) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%

James Madison Defensive Stats & Trends:

James Madison has averaged 9.3 steals per game (520 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

James Madison has averaged 9.7 steals per game (222 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

James Madison has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

James Madison has averaged 9.3 steals per game (520 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.