Texas State vs Louisiana Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 10:56 AM
  • Louisiana (10-8) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Texas State (7-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Texas State / Louisiana TV channel: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (7-11) visit Cajundome to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (10-8) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Lafayette, LA.

Louisiana is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Texas State vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Texas State vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas State+8.5 -110O 143.5 -110+310
Louisiana -8.5 -110U 143.5 -110-400

Texas State vs Louisiana Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this college basketball game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas State vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas State has a 7-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI).

  • 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -35.68% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.15% ROI

Louisiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -6.76% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 11.62% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -20.2% ROI

Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Texas State has made 4.8 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas State has averaged 10.8 assists per game (596 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana is shooting 38% from three (406/1,079) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana has a TS% of 50% this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Louisiana is shooting 48% (1,522/3,187) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 44%

Louisiana has an eFG% of 54% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,220 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Texas State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,220 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Texas State has averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (473 rebounds/20 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Texas State has averaged 6.4 steals per game (128 steals/20 games) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Louisiana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana has averaged 21.6 defensive rebounds per game (431 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Louisiana has averaged 21.6 defensive rebounds per game (431 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Louisiana has averaged 8.8 steals per game (175 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Louisiana has 418 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.