- Southern Miss (11-15) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Texas State (15-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
- Texas State / Southern Miss TV channel: ESPN+
The Texas State Bobcats (15-14) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (11-15) on Mar. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Pensacola, FL.
Southern Miss is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Texas State vs. Southern Miss Over/Under is 136.5 total points.
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Texas State vs. Southern Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas State | +2.5 -105 | O 136.5 -110 | +135 |
| Southern Miss | -2.5 -115 | U 136.5 -110 | -160 |
Texas State vs Southern Miss Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Texas State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Texas State vs Southern Miss Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Texas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Southern Miss Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Southern Mississippi has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+5.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi have covered the Spread in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+1.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Southern Mississippi have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+0.95 Units / 28% ROI)
Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas State has a 15-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -2.01% ROI
- 14-16 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI
- 16-14 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
Southern Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Southern Miss has a 7-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 19.11% ROI
- 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -9.68% ROI
- 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.06% ROI
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Texas State has averaged 68.3 points per game (1,640 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.3
Texas State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Southern Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:
Southern Miss is shooting 45% from inside the arc (362/807) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 51%
Southern Miss is shooting 45% from inside the arc (362/807) this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%
Southern Miss is shooting 42% (582/1,385) this season — 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Southern Miss has a TS% of 44% this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Texas State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Texas State has averaged 23.9 defensive rebounds per game (574 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8
Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (145/481) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Southern Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:
Southern Miss has 453 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Sunbelt Teams
Southern Miss has averaged 7.9 steals per game (453 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Southern Miss has averaged 7.4 steals per game (177 steals/24 games) this season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Southern Miss has averaged 7.9 steals per game (453 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
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