- Troy (18-9) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Texas State (16-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- Texas State / Troy TV channel: ESPN+
The Texas State Bobcats (16-14) visit Pensacola Bay Center to take on the Troy Trojans (18-9) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Pensacola, FL.
Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (+100).
The Texas State vs. Troy Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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Texas State vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texas State | +6.5 -120 | O 139.5 -105 | +220 |
| Troy | -6.5 +100 | U 139.5 -115 | -275 |
Texas State vs Troy Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Texas State vs Troy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas State will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence for today’s game.
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Texas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Texas State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games (+13.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.70 Units / 64% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Texas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Texas State has a 16-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI).
- 14-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.23% ROI
- 14-17 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI
- 17-14 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI
Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Troy has a 18-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.95 Units / 25.56% ROI).
- 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 5.75% ROI
- 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 5.84% ROI
- 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -14.61% ROI
Texas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Texas State has made 4.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Texas State has averaged 68.3 points per game (1,640 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.3
Texas State has made 4.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:
Troy is shooting 36% from three (208/584) this season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%
Troy has made 9.0 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Troy has averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (299 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Troy has averaged 80.0 points per game (1,840 points/23 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0
Texas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Texas State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Texas State has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Texas State has averaged 23.9 defensive rebounds per game (574 rebounds/24 games) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8
Texas State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (145/481) this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:
Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (519 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Troy has averaged 10.0 steals per game (231 steals/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Troy has 231 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (519 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
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