Texas Tech vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 30, 2024, 11:25 AM
  • TCU (12-8) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Texas Tech (10-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Texas Tech / TCU TV channel: ESPN2

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (10-9) visit Ed & Rae Schollmaier Arena to take on the TCU Horned Frogs (12-8) on Jan. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Fort Worth, TX.

TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Texas Tech vs. TCU Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Texas Tech vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Texas Tech+5.5 -115O 148.5 -110+185
TCU -5.5 -105U 148.5 -110-225

Texas Tech vs TCU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts TCU will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Texas Tech vs TCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+12.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+2.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+0.95 Units / 4% ROI)

Texas Tech Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Tech has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI).

  • 14-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +13 Units / 7.67% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 12-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.2 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 4.99% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Over for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Under for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech attempted 43 threes on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech attempted 43 shots on right corner attempts last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Texas Tech made 0.3 three-pointers per game in transition last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Texas Tech is shooting 80% from the free throw line (176/221) in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 72%

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU shot 38% (24/64) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU made 2.2 three-pointers per game in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 3.1

Texas Tech Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Tech allowed 29.1 points per game (523 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Texas Tech allowed 25.4 points per game (457 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Texas Tech allowed 1.5 made three-pointers per game in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Texas Tech allowed opponents to shoot 34% on catch and shoot opportunities (15/44) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 48%

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.