- Tigers / Astros TV Channel: SCHN
The Detroit Tigers (+160) visit CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches to take on the Houston Astros (-200) on Monday, March 11, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in West Palm Beach, FL.
This season, the Tigers are 6-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 6-5 ATS.
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +160 |
| Astros | -200 |
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
- Ryan Kreidler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Cesar Salazar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 96% ROI)
- Cesar Salazar has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games at home (+8.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 7-5 against the Run Line (+1.96 Units / 14.1% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.62 Units / 10.82% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.92 Units / -28.99% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 20.35% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Astros are 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.77 Units / 5.5% ROI).
- 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 10.49% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -32.53% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.54 Units / 21.58% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 34% (111/325) against Reese Olson with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — fourth Percentile.
Reese Olson allowed a BABIP of .244 against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 97th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 33% (51/154) against Reese Olson when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
87% of Reese Olson’s called strikeouts were low against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez located 41% of his pitches inside (1,210/2,952) in the 2023 season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 47% of his pitches inside (361/767) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 41% of his pitches inside (1,210/2,952) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Framber Valdez had third base stolen on him 8 times in the 2023 season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 19-85 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Tigers are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Astros are 15-11 (.577) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Astros are 90-23 (.796) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Astros are 79-47 (.627) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Astros are 163-11 (.937) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .907.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers batted just .241 on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Tigers batted just .211 on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Astros are 21-5 (.808) against the run line (28.4% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .553.
Astros hitters slugged .460 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Tigers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 3.62 (710.1 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Astros won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Astros won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Astros vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Back, Out
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, Out
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, Out
- Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
Bet now on Tigers vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
