- Tigers / Rays TV Channel: BSDT | BSUN
The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Charlotte Sports Park to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-160) on Sunday, February 25, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in Port Charlotte, FL.
Last season, the Tigers were 78-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays were 87-77 ATS.
Tigers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +135 |
| Rays | -160 |
Tigers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
- Ryan Kreidler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rene Pinto has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Tigers went 87-75 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 1.43% ROI).
- 78-84 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 6.3% ROI
- 78-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -4.24% ROI
- 77-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -4.29% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Rays went 87-77 against the Run Line (+12.1 Units / 6.17% ROI).
- 99-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 3.15% ROI
- 89-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.35 Units / 6.82% ROI
- 70-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.75 Units / -14.88% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Faedo allowed a BABIP of .211 in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Alex Faedo allowed an OBP of just .263 (262 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .200 (48-for-240) against Alex Faedo in the 2023 season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .182 (12 GB hits out of 66 GBs) against Alex Faedo in the 2023 season — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 94th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters hit .365 (23-for-63) against Erasmo Ramirez in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.
Erasmo Ramirez allowed an OPS of .941 (128 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .688 — sixth Percentile.
Erasmo Ramirez allowed a slugging percentage of .769 (40 Total Bases / 52 ABs) versus the top of the order in the 2023 season — highest among in AL; League Avg: .395 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .319 (43-for-135) against Erasmo Ramirez in the 2023 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 19-85 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Tigers are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays were 7-54 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays were 71-13 (.845) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers batted just .241 on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (741 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Tigers batted just .211 on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .312 with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters slugged .445 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Tigers have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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