Toledo vs Appalachian State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 10

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Player No 23 from App State dribbling an NBA game ball with No 3 from Louisville defending
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 10, 2024, 10:26 AM
  • Appalachian State (13-10) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Toledo (11-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Toledo / Appalachian State TV channel: ESPN+

The Toledo Rockets (11-12) visit Holmes Convocation Center to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (13-10) on Feb. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Boone, NC.

Appalachian State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Toledo vs. Appalachian State Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Toledo vs. Appalachian State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo+6.5 -110O 150.5 -115+230
Appalachian State -6.5 -110U 150.5 -105-300

Toledo vs Appalachian State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Appalachian State will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Toledo vs Appalachian State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Appalachian State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+9.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+4.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Appalachian State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Appalachian State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.25 Units / -8.88% ROI).

  • 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 3.32% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI

Appalachian State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Appalachian State has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.15 Units / 13.04% ROI).

  • 17-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.7 Units / 8.32% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo is shooting 49% (1,714/3,502) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (809 assists/ 565 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo has a TS% of 51% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%

Toledo is shooting 48% (657/1,365) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Appalachian State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State is shooting 56% from inside the arc (450/796) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 50%

Appalachian State is shooting 66% from the free throw line (644/971) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 70%

Appalachian State is shooting 47% (672/1,434) this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Appalachian State is shooting 31% from three (153/493) this season — 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has averaged 22.3 defensive rebounds per game (514 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 46th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Toledo has averaged 7.0 steals per game (162 steals/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Toledo has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Toledo has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,321 rebounds/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Appalachian State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Appalachian State has averaged 29.2 defensive rebounds per game (671 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Appalachian State has allowed an average of 1.01 points per shot (1,492 points/1,473 shots) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Appalachian State has allowed an average of 1.01 points per shot (1,492 points/1,473 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Appalachian State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (562/1,473) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.