Toledo vs Miami (OH) Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 05, 2024, 11:39 AM
  • Toledo (13-16) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Miami (OH) (16-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Toledo / Miami (OH) TV channel: ESPN+

The Toledo Rockets (13-16) visit John D. Millett Hall to take on the Miami (OH) RedHawks (16-11) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Oxford, OH.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Toledo-2.5 -105O 150.5 -110-130
Miami (OH) +2.5 -115U 150.5 -110+110

Toledo vs Miami (OH) Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Toledo will win this college basketball game with 54.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Toledo vs Miami (OH) Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Miami (OH) will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+0.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Miami (OH) has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.50 Units / 31% ROI)

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.65 Units / -14.55% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -10.08% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.35 Units / -1.1% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.82% ROI

Miami (OH) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (OH) has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI).

  • 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 12.6% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo is shooting 49% (1,754/3,583) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (824 assists/ 579 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Toledo has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (579 turnovers/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Toledo has averaged 83.5 points per game (4,925 points/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Miami (OH) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (OH) has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (173 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Miami (OH) has averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (430 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Miami (OH) has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (173 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Miami (OH) has averaged 14.9 assists per game (357 assists/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.6

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has 176 steals this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo has averaged 7.3 steals per game (176 steals/24 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Toledo has allowed opponents to shoot 49% (707/1,433) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Toledo has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (538 rebounds/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Miami (OH) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (OH) has averaged 22.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,270 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6

Miami (OH) has averaged 5.8 steals per game (138 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Miami (OH) has averaged 5.9 steals per game (333 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Miami (OH) has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (576 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.