Troy vs Georgia Southern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 01, 2024, 11:13 AM
  • Troy (12-5) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Georgia Southern (8-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Troy / Georgia Southern TV channel: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans (12-5) visit Hanner Fieldhouse to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles (8-12) on Feb. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Statesboro, GA.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Troy vs. Georgia Southern Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Troy vs. Georgia Southern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy-5.5 -105O 148.5 -110-225
Georgia Southern +5.5 -115U 148.5 -110+180

Troy vs Georgia Southern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 67.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs Georgia Southern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+5.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+7.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+5.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 12-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.35 Units / 31.59% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 5.77% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 11.62% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -20.2% ROI

Georgia Southern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Georgia Southern has a 10-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.95 Units / -4.13% ROI).

  • 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -12.72% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (271 turnovers/20 games) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Troy has a TS% of 47% this season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 46%

Troy has averaged 12.8 turnovers per game (681 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Troy has 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Georgia Southern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia Southern has averaged 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Georgia Southern has averaged 8.5 offensive rebounds per game (170 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.4

Georgia Southern has averaged 10.5 assists per game (210 assists/20 games) this season — tied for lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Georgia Southern has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (553 assists/ 623 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 10.2 steals per game (204 steals/20 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (492 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy has averaged 9.3 steals per game (492 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Troy has 204 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Georgia Southern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Georgia Southern has averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (428 rebounds/20 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Georgia Southern has averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,213 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Georgia Southern has averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,213 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Georgia Southern has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (1,587 points/1,178 shots) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.