Troy vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 18, 2024, 12:22 PM
  • Troy (11-2) is a -1.5 point favorite vs South Alabama (8-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Troy / South Alabama TV channel: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans (11-2) visit Mitchell Center to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (8-6) on Jan. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Mobile, AL.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Troy vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Troy vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Troy-1.5 +100O 150.5 -110-115
South Alabama +1.5 -120U 150.5 -110-105

Troy vs South Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Troy vs South Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+10.85 Units / 74% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 11-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.8 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 8-5 when betting the Over for +2.5 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 5-8 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -18.83% ROI

South Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Alabama has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -70.71% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.45 Units / 8.33% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / -18.83% ROI

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (237 turnovers/17 games) this season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Troy has averaged 1.29 points per shot (1,384 points/1,073 shots) this season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Troy has 23.2 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Troy is shooting 35% from three (155/439) this season — 3rd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 6.6 offensive rebounds per game (345 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 9.8

South Alabama has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (499 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

South Alabama has averaged 7.4 offensive rebounds per game (126 rebounds/17 games) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.6

South Alabama has a 25% free throw rate (765 free throw attempts/3,076 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 31%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has averaged 9.2 steals per game (458 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy has averaged 9.2 steals per game (458 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy has averaged 10.0 steals per game (170 steals/17 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Troy has 170 steals this season — most among Sunbelt Teams

South Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Alabama has averaged 24.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,274 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.1

South Alabama has averaged 6.3 steals per game (326 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

South Alabama has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

South Alabama has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (561 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.