UAB vs Army Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 7

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Army Black Knights head coach Jeff Monken converses with other coaches on his headset about the next play during an NCAA college football game against Air Force in Arlington, Texas, Saturday, Nov. 5, 2022. (AP Photo/Emil Lippe)
(AP Photo/Emil Lippe)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 08, 2024, 2:03 PM
  • The Army is a -26.5 point favorite vs. UAB
  • The UAB vs. Army Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSSN

The UAB Blazers (1-4) visit Blaik Field at Michie Stadium to take on the Army Black Knights (5-0) on Oct. 12 in West Point, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Army is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -26.5 (-110).

The UAB vs. Army Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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UAB vs. Army Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UAB+26.5 -11054.5 -105+1300
Army -26.5 -11054.5 -115-3000

UAB vs Army Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both UAB and Army, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

UAB vs Army Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UAB will cover the spread with 63.5% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • UAB has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UAB has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Army have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 8 games (+0.55 Units / 6% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Army players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Army Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Bryson Daily has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

UAB Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UAB is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • UAB is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • UAB is 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • UAB is 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Army is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 32.61% ROI
  • Army is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Army is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

UAB: Keys to the Game vs. Army

UAB is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

UAB is 3-10 (.231) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 35th-worst in FBS; Average: .390

UAB is 3-12 (.200) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .420

UAB is 2-10 (.167) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .398

Army: Keys to the Game vs. UAB

Army is 8-1 (.889) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .596

Army is 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .333

Army is 8-2 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .644

Army is 6-1 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-22nd-best in FBS; Average: .543

Matchup Notes for UAB vs. Army

Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 24.3% of 37 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Army has 105 receptions in 17 games (just 6.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among FBS skill players. UAB’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.

Army’s WRs has 72 receptions in 17 games (just 4.2 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among FBS WRs. UAB’s defense has allowed just 10.9 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

UAB has 408 receptions in 17 games (24.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 17.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

UAB has gained 1,058 yards on 102 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — T-20th-worst among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

UAB has gained 4,525 yards on 408 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

UAB Offensive Stats & Trends

UAB has 408 receptions in 17 games (24.0 per game) since the 2023 season — 15th-best among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 17.3 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 35th-best among FBS defenses.

UAB has gained 1,058 yards on 102 receptions (just 10.4 YPR) this season — T-20th-worst among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

UAB has gained 4,525 yards on 408 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

UAB’s WRs has gained 661 yards on 60 receptions (just 11.0 YPR) this season — T-16th-worst among FBS WRs. Army’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception this season — best among NonP5 defenses.

UAB has gained 4,525 yards on 408 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-25th-worst among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-19th-best among FBS defenses.

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army Skill Players have averaged just 6.2 receptions per game (105/17) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Army RBs averaged 10.7 Yards per Carry (193 yards/18 carries) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Army Skill Players averaged 26.7 yards per reception (160 yards/6 catches) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Army’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 24.3% of 37 attempts this season — 2nd-best among FBS offenses. UAB’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.0% of attempts this season — 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Army Skill Players have averaged just 4.8 receptions per game (24/5) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

UAB Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 17 of 219 rushing attempts (8% TFL%) this season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

UAB allowed 359.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs last week– worst in FBS; Average: 155.1

UAB has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 14 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

UAB has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 54 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

UAB has tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 40 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– T-16th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army has allowed 2 rushing TDs on 127 carries (63.5 Carries Per TD) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.6

Army has allowed just 8.6 yards per completion (892 yards/104 completions) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 12.0

Army opponents has averaged 6.1 Passing Attempts per TD (49 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Army has allowed 260.2 yards from scrimmage per game this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 387.8

Army has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 10 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.


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