UCF vs Houston Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:33 AM
  • Houston (9-7) is a -16.5 point favorite vs UCF (9-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
  • UCF / Houston TV channel: ESPN+

The UCF Knights (9-7) visit Fertitta Center to take on the Houston Cougars (9-7) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

Houston is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The UCF vs. Houston Over/Under is 127.5 total points.

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UCF vs. Houston Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCF+16.5 -110O 127.5 -110+900
Houston -16.5 -110U 127.5 -110-1600

UCF vs Houston Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Houston will win this college basketball game with 93.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UCF vs Houston Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 35 games (+12.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+1.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Houston have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 9-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.45 Units / 14.89% ROI).

  • 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.18% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.78% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.44% ROI

Houston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Houston has a 10-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI).

  • 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 5.62% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting the Over for -8.2 Units / -43.85% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting the Under for +6.5 Units / 34.76% ROI

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has averaged 12.7 offensive rebounds per game (633 rebounds/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

UCF has an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

UCF is shooting 35% from three (295/835) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

UCF has averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (658 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 32nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Houston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has averaged 15.1 offensive rebounds per game (257 rebounds/17 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Houston has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/17 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.6

Houston has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (156 turnovers/17 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Houston has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (544 assists/ 372 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has averaged 8.2 steals per game (408 steals/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UCF has 147 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams

UCF has forced 15.2 turnovers per game (762 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.4

UCF has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (221/720) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Houston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Houston has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (708/1,933) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Houston has allowed 51.5 points per game (876 points/17 games) this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 65.5

Houston has allowed 28.4 points per game (483 points/17 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34.5

Houston has allowed 23.1 points per game (393 points/17 games) in the first half this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 30.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.