UCF vs Oklahoma State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 12:26 PM
  • Oklahoma State (11-14) is a -2.5 point favorite vs UCF (15-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • UCF / Oklahoma State TV channel: ESPN+

The UCF Knights (15-11) visit Gallagher-Iba Arena to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (11-14) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Stillwater, OK.

Oklahoma State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The UCF vs. Oklahoma State Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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UCF vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCF+2.5 -110O 139.5 -110+120
Oklahoma State -2.5 -110U 139.5 -110-145

UCF vs Oklahoma State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Oklahoma State will win this college basketball game with 57.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UCF vs Oklahoma State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+2.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.85 Units / 8% ROI)

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 15-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.05 Units / 14.75% ROI).

  • 11-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -6.86% ROI
  • 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.25 Units / -11.75% ROI
  • 13-11 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 3.64% ROI

Oklahoma State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oklahoma State has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -14.81% ROI).

  • 9-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.2 Units / -16.46% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.08% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -15.44% ROI

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 42% (945/2,253) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (248 assists/ 263 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCF is shooting 74% from the free throw line (763/1,027) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

UCF has 218 turnovers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd fewest among AAC Teams

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma St. had an eFG% of 39% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 53%

Oklahoma St. had an eFG% of 42% in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Oklahoma St. had a TS% of 41% in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

Oklahoma St. shot 34% (15/44) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 45%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has 182 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams

Oklahoma State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma St. forced 5.2 turnovers per game (94 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Oklahoma State has allowed opponents to shoot 50% (355/705) this season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%

Oklahoma St. allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three (13/57) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma St. allowed opponents to shoot 33% on catch and shoot opportunities (19/57) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.