UCF vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:30 AM
  • TCU (18-12) is a -8.5 point favorite vs UCF (17-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • UCF / TCU TV channel: ESPN+

The UCF Knights (17-12) visit Ed & Rae Schollmaier Arena to take on the TCU Horned Frogs (18-12) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Fort Worth, TX.

TCU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (+100).

The UCF vs. TCU Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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UCF vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UCF+8.5 -120O 142.5 -115+300
TCU -8.5 +100U 142.5 -105-400

UCF vs TCU Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts TCU will win this college basketball game with 77.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UCF vs TCU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.95 Units / 16.1% ROI).

  • 12-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -7.61% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.45 Units / -14.38% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.18% ROI

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has a 18-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.8 Units / 14.52% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 0.68% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 42% (945/2,253) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (248 assists/ 263 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCF is shooting 74% from the free throw line (763/1,027) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

UCF has 218 turnovers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd fewest among AAC Teams

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU had 27 turnovers in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

TCU shot 28% from three (62/224) in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

TCU made 1.3 three-pointers per game in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 2.9

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has 182 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed an average of 0.52 points per shot (12 points/23 shots) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% on catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.