England vs. Switzerland Prediction, Odds | Euro 2024

min read
England's Jude Bellingham, left, celebrates his goal with Harry Kane during a round of sixteen match between England and Slovakia at the Euro 2024 soccer tournament in Gelsenkirchen, Germany, Sunday, June 30, 2024.
(AP Photo/Matthias Schrader)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jul 05, 2024, 8:56 AM
  • England (+115) is the favorite on the three-way moneyline.
  • The Three Lions earned a 2-1 win in the most recent head-to-head meeting.
  • I predict this match will prove a slog in terms of total goals.

Following a dramatic comeback win in the round of 16, England prepares to meet Switzerland in the quarterfinals. 

A Jude Bellingham bicycle kick in stoppage time – England’s only shot on target for the match – sent the game to extra time. 

Then, Harry Kane sent the Three Lions through with an extra time tally. 

As for Switzerland, they cruised in the round of 16. Against current Euro holders Italy, the Swiss captured a 2-0 win to reach the quarters. 

Here’s a look at the Euro 2024 odds and my prediction for Saturday’s match. 

England vs. Switzerland Odds

  • England Moneyline: +120
  • Switzerland Moneyline: +270
  • Draw Moneyline: +200
  • Total Goals: 2.5 (+138/-200)
  • England vs. Switzerland Both Teams to Score: Yes (+110), No (-155)

Who will score a goal in England vs. Switzerland?

Based on current betting odds, Harry Kane (+155) has the best chance to score a goal in this Euro matchup. Kane is followed on the odds board by Ollie Watkins (+190), Ivan Toney (+195) and Cole Palmer (+310).

England vs. Switzerland: How many corner kicks will there be?

Based on the current line of 8.5 corner kicks for England vs. Switzerland, I predict that the OVER will hit in this Euro matchup.

This is strictly a lean for me at the current number. England have seen three of four stay under this total, but Switzerland has closed an underdog twice and saw both those matches clear this number.

England vs. Switzerland Prediction: Total Goals

I predict England vs. Switzerland will stay under 0.5 goals (+525) on Saturday, based on England’s inability to create chances in possession. 

Bettors already caught a glimpse of this match style in Switzerland vs. Germany. 

Out of possession, Switzerland’s defense hung tough against Germany’s attack. The Germans created only 1.56 xG and posted an xG/shot tally of 0.09. 

Switzerland also held the Germans to only three shots on target for the entire match. Of those three shots, only one had a psxG rating higher than 0.1. 

England has performed markedly worse with the ball this tournament. 

Manager Gareth Southgate’s side has held more than 60% possession twice this tournament. 

In those two matches, England have managed only 0.98 xG per 90 minutes with an xG per shot rating of 0.08. 

They’ve also managed only five shots on target in those two matches, including a single shot on target against Slovakia in the round of 16. 

All that said, I still have faith in this England defense. 

Against Serbia and Denmark, they combined to allow only one expected goal and 0.83 post-shot expected goals, per fotmob.com. 

Plus, Switzerland arrives at Saturday’s fixture as a negative regression candidate. 

They’ve scored seven times from open play this tournament, but have created only 5.2 expected goals. 

Against a stout England defense, it’s worth a sprinkle to take this game to end 0-0 after 90 minutes plus injury time.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.