Spain vs. Germany Prediction, Odds | Euro 2024

Two European heavyweights will meet Friday in Stuttgart. Below, bettors can find my Spain vs. Germany prediction. 

Spain has yet to drop points in the tournament, with four wins in as many matches. In the round of 16, they came from down 1-0 to thrash Georgia 4-1. 

Germany also experienced few headaches in the round of 16. Second half goals from Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala gave the Germans a 2-0 win over Denmark. 

Here’s a look at the Euro 2024 odds and my prediction for Friday’s match. 

Spain vs. Germany Odds

• Spain Moneyline: +155
• Germany Moneyline: +175
• Draw Moneyline: +225
• Total Goals: 2.5 (+100/-135)
• Spain vs. Germany Both Teams to Score: Yes (-135), No (+100)

Who will score a goal in Spain vs. Germany?

Based on current betting odds, Alvaro Morata (+200) has the best chance to score a goal in this Euro matchup. Morata is followed by Joselu (+210), Niclas Fullkrug (+250) and Kai Havertz (+250).

Spain vs. Germany: How many corner kicks will there be?

Based on the current line of 9.5 corner kicks for Spain vs Germany, I predict that the OVER will hit in this Euro matchup.

Although both teams have proved good under bets for total corners this tournament, they combined for 11 corners in their most recent meeting. In their last three head-to-head meetings, over 9.5 corners has hit two times.

Spain vs. Germany Prediction: Total Goals

I predict the first half will stay under 0.5 goals (+160) for Friday’s European Championship match between Spain and Germany. 

In the most recent meeting between these teams, very little transpired early. 

Sample the first 45 minutes + stoppage time of a World Cup meeting between Spain and Germany and bettors will find they combined for only 0.44 expected goals. 

Of the seven combined shots in that first half, only two managed to find the target. 

Even though Spain raced out to a 3-0 halftime advantage in the fixture before that World Cup meeting, it came on home soil. 

The last time these sides met in Germany, the first half ended 0-0 with only 0.57 expected goals, per fotmob.com. 

Plus, this qualifies as a great opportunity to sell the Spanish attack against a good defense. 

Even though Spain’s first half against Georgia ended 1-1, Spain’s chances weren’t very high in quality. 

Spain generated only 0.06 xG/shot and only 0.23 psxG per shot on target against the worst defense in the tournament. 

Of their 17 shots, only two produced an xG rating north of 0.1. 

Germany’s defense is prone to allowing chances on the counter attack, but they’re actually quite good defensively out of possession. 

Ironically, the last such match Germany held a minority of the ball came against Spain. In that first half, they surrendered only 0.16 expected goals in the first half. 

At the same time, Spain’s defense should contain a German attack that has taken time to find footing. 

This tournament, they’ve created 6.2 non-penalty expected goals. 

Of that total, almost 65% came after halftime. Just against Switzerland and Denmark, 70% of their npxG tally came in the second half. 

As a result, expect a slow start to Friday’s heavyweight battle.