UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya Fight Card, Predictions, & Odds

min read
Kelvin Gastelum and Israel Adesanya fight during a middleweight mixed martial arts bout at UFC 236 in Atlanta on Saturday.
(AP Photo/Michael Zarrilli)
Anatoly Pimentel @AnatolyPimentel Aug 14, 2024, 8:04 PM
  • The UFC middleweight title fight between Dricus Du Plessis and Israel Adesanya headlines UFC 305.
  • Dricus Du Plessis defends his UFC middleweight title for the first time.
  • Du Plessis is the +105 betting underdog, and Adesanya is the -115 favorite.

For the first time since becoming the undisputed king of the middleweight division, Dricus Du Plessis will be putting his UFC title on the line this weekend against the former longtime titleholder Israel Adesanya. The two will headline UFC 305 inside the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia.

Despite being out for nearly a year, Adesanya is still the favorite to win in the upcoming match with -115 UFC odds against Du Plessis, who comes in as the slight +105 betting underdog. The stacked credentials of โ€œThe Last Stylebenderโ€ may have been the biggest factor for their roles at BetMGMโ€™s online sportsbook.

Dricus Du Plessis Recent Fight Results

Du Plessis made his UFC debut in October 2020 after dominating the EFC and KSW promotions. Heโ€™s still undefeated under the Las Vegas-based promotion and holds a win over Markus Perez, Trevin Giles, Brad Tavares, Darren Till, and Derek Brunson.

The South African starโ€™s last two victories were the biggest so far. He defeated the former UFC middleweight champion Robert Whittaker in July 2023 via second-round TKO to earn the title shot against Sean Strickland in January at UFC 297. Du Plessis maximized his championship opportunity by beating Strickland via split decision.

Israel Adesanya Recent Fight Results

Adesanya was a former longtime UFC middleweight champion with five successful title defenses since becoming the divisionโ€™s undisputed king in October 2019. The top contenders on his victim list were Anderson Silva, Whittaker, Paulo Costa, Yoel Romero, and Marvin Vettori.

His reign was stopped by Alex Pereira, who TKOโ€™d him in November 2022 at UFC 281, but he quickly avenged it with a second-round knockout in their rematch at UFC 287 in April 2023. His most recent appearance inside the octagon was against Strickland, and he dropped a shocking unanimous decision defeat in September at UFC 293.

Dricus Du Plessis vs. Israel Adesanya: Tale of the Tape

Dricus Du PlessisIsrael Adesanya
Age3035
Height6โ€™1โ€6โ€™4โ€
Reach76 inches80 inches
Leg Reach43 inches44.5 inches
Record21-224-3
Fighting StyleMMAFreestyle
Finishing Rate90%67%

Dricus Du Plessis vs. Israel Adesanya: Fight Analysis

Adesanya will have the advantage in the tale of the tape against Du Plessis because he has 3 inches of height, 4 inches of reach, and 1.5 inches of leg reach against the defending champion. However, Du Plessis has the higher finish rate at 90% compared to the challengerโ€™s 67%.

Stylistically, Adesanyaโ€™s strong kickboxing background is a critical factor in his fighting style, making him a formidable freestyler. In contrast, Du Plessis is a more well-rounded fighter with an MMA base.

Du Plessisโ€™ key to this match is to put pressure on Adesanya and close the distance between them. This way, he can negate the former championโ€™s physical advantages and have the option to mix things up with takedowns.

โ€œStillknocksโ€ can emulate the success of Jan Blachowicz and Strickland against Adesanya by putting him down on the mat, imposing his superior grappling skills, and forcing him to fight on the back foot.

On the other hand, Adesanya should utilize every inch of his length against Du Plessis and fight from the outside, much like he did during his dominant reign as the unquestioned king of the weight class.

Adesanyaโ€™s age, 35, could be a potential roadblock in the fight. There are concerns about his athleticism and explosiveness, especially after his last fight against Strickland, where he appeared to be moving slower than usual.

But given that this match is very personal for Adesanya and the fact that he had a lengthy rest and preparation, he could perform at his best once again. If he could avoid being cornered against the cage side wall and fight from long range, then Adesanyan could reclaim his throne with another masterful performance.

Official Prediction: Unanimous decision victory for Israel Adesanya.

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About the Author

Anatoly Pimentel

Read More @AnatolyPimentel

Anatoly Pimentel is an NBA and MMA writer previously featured in ASEAN Sports, Asian Persuasion MMA, and Overtime Heroics MMA. He graduated from Adamson University with a B.A in Communication and is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM.

Anatoly Pimentel is an NBA and MMA writer previously featured in ASEAN Sports, Asian Persuasion MMA, and Overtime Heroics MMA. He graduated from Adamson University with a B.A in Communication and is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM.