UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2: Fight Card, Predictions, & Odds

Top 10 women’s strawweight contenders Mackenzie Dern and Amanda Ribas will be the curtain-opener of the UFC this 2025, as they will headline the first fight night card on Jan. 11 inside the APEX Center in Las Vegas.

This will be a rematch between the two athletes, as Ribas scored a unanimous decision win over Dern during their first meeting in October 2019 with a unanimous decision nod from the judges.

Because of this result, Ribas heads into the match as the betting favorite with -210 UFC odds despite dropping her previous match against Rose Namajunas in March. Meanwhile, Dern is the +175 betting underdog in this upcoming showdown.

Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas 2 Odds

• Mackenzie Dern: +175
• Amanda Ribas: -210

Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas 2: Prediction

I predict Ribas will reassert her mastery over Dern and secure a unanimous decision victory because the stylistic matchup is in her favor. Like in their first meeting, Ribas will utilize her 3-inch reach advantage with land jabs and punches.

Additionally, Ribas has a solid takedown defense with her judo background. This will again utilize the threat of Dern’s superior grappling skills, particularly her Brazilian jiu-jitsu background.

During their first meeting, Ribas displayed strong grappling skills by countering Dern’s takedown attempt with a side throw to end up in the top position. On the feet, Ribas was able to fully utilize every inch of her advantage to light up Dern with punches.

Since their first bout, both athletes have been very active in competition, and their level of opponents was at par with each other by fighting other top contenders in the 115-pound weight class.

However, the fighting style is just in favor of Ribas because she has an answer to Dern’s BJJ expertise. Add the fact that Ribas uses the entire length of her reach in striking exchanges, then it will be another masterful performance for her.

IT'S FINALLY FIGHT WEEK!!!!

2025 kicks off with #UFCVegas101 👊

[ Saturday on @ESPNPlus | 4pmET/1pmPT ] pic.twitter.com/ndhkdLWKcw

— UFC (@ufc) January 6, 2025

Mackenzie Dern Recent Fight Results

Dern was an undefeated fighter when she was signed by the UFC in 2018. She made her octagon debut against Ashley Yoder and eked out a split-decision win. Since then, Dern won eight of her next 13 fights to earn a spot in the rankings.

Several of Dern’s most notable wins were against Randa Markos, Virna Jandiroba, Nina Nunes, Tecia Pennington, and Angela Hill. Her defeats were courtesy of Ribas, Marina Rodriguez, Yan Xiaonan, Jéssica Andrade, and Amanda Lemos.

Amanda Ribas Recent Fight Results

Ribas arrived in the UFC in June 2019 and made a successful debut with a win over Emily Whitmire via second-round submission. Following that victory, she swept her next three fights before receiving her first loss in the promotion.

Since that setback, Ribas has split her next six bouts, winning against Jandiroba, Viviane Araujo, and Luana Pinheiro. Rodriguez, Maycee Barber, and Namajunas handed her losses during this stretch.

Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas 2: Tale of the Tape

Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas 2 Fight Card

• Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas, women’s strawweight fight
• Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Carlston Harris, welterweight fight
• César Almeida vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan, middleweight fight
• Chris Curtis vs. Roman Kopylov, middleweight fight
• Christian Rodriguez vs. Austin Bashi, featherweight fight
• Punahele Soriano vs. Uroš Medić, welterweight fight
• Jose Johnson vs. Felipe Burns, flyweight fight
• Marco Tulio vs. Ihor Potieria, middleweight fight
• Thiago Moisés vs. Trey Ogden, lightweight fight
• Preston Parsons vs. Jacobe Smith, welterweight fight
• Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Nicolle Caliari, women’s flyweight fight
• Magomed Gadzhiyasulov vs. Bruno Lopes, light heavyweight fight
• Fatima Kline vs. Viktoriia Dudakova, women’s strawweight fight
• Nurullo Aliev vs. Joe Solecki, lightweight fight