UMBC vs Vermont Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

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Vermont head coach John Becker talks to his team in the second half of an NCAA college basketball game for the America East Conference tournament championship, Saturday, March 12, 2022, in Burlington, Vt.
(AP Photo/Jessica Hill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 11:38 AM
  • Vermont (4-10) is a -17.5 point favorite vs UMBC (7-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • UMBC / Vermont TV channel: ESPNU

The UMBC Retrievers (7-8) visit Roy L Patrick Gymnasium to take on the Vermont Catamounts (4-10) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Burlington, VT.

Vermont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-110).

The UMBC vs. Vermont Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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UMBC vs. Vermont Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UMBC+17.5 -110O 153.5 -110+900
Vermont -17.5 -110U 153.5 -110-1600

UMBC vs Vermont Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Vermont will win this college basketball game with 93.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UMBC vs Vermont Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Vermont will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UMBC has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UMBC has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Vermont have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Vermont has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)

UMBC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UMBC has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 11-4 when betting the Over for +6.6 Units / 0% ROI
  • 4-11 when betting the Under for -8.1 Units / 0% ROI

Vermont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Vermont has a 4-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 0% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 0% ROI

UMBC Offensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC is shooting 37% from three (133/361) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 34%

UMBC has an eFG% of 52% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among America East Teams; League Avg: 51%

UMBC has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (660 assists/ 538 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UMBC is shooting 46% (469/1,024) this season — 4th best among America East Teams; League Avg: 45%

Vermont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Vermont has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (680 assists/ 438 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Vermont has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (438 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Vermont has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (438 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Vermont has averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (135 turnovers/16 games) this season — best among America East Teams; League Avg: 12.1

UMBC Defensive Stats & Trends:

UMBC has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (400 rebounds/16 games) this season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 26.0

UMBC has averaged 5.5 steals per game (265 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

UMBC has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,153 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among America East Teams; League Avg: 24.6

UMBC has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (491/1,060) this season — tied for 17th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Vermont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Vermont has allowed 64.5 points per game (1,032 points/16 games) this season — best among America East Teams ; League Avg: 72.4

Vermont has allowed 66.2 points per game (3,308 points/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 70.9

Vermont has allowed 6.7 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th highest among America East Teams ; League Avg: 6.6

Vermont has forced 10.3 turnovers per game (514 turnovers/50 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.