UNLV vs Fresno State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 11:43 AM
  • UNLV (13-7) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (10-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • UNLV / Fresno State TV channel: CBSSN

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (13-7) visit Save Mart Center to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (10-13) on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Fresno, CA.

UNLV is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The UNLV vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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UNLV vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV-4.5 -115O 137.5 -110-210
Fresno State +4.5 -105U 137.5 -110+170

UNLV vs Fresno State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UNLV vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Fresno State vs UNLV and all games with BetMGM


  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+13.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has a 14-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.4 Units / 33.56% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.35 Units / 37.66% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Over for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Under for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI).

  • 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -10.72% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has averaged 10.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

UNLV is shooting 34% from three (411/1,199) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

UNLV has an eFG% of 52% this season — 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

UNLV has averaged 15.0 assists per game (301 assists/20 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (298 assists/ 316 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (298 assists/ 316 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (680 assists/ 674 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Fresno State has 16.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (837 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.3

UNLV has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (139/416) this season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

UNLV has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (468 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

UNLV has averaged 8.4 steals per game (436 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (183/492) this season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (410/1,097) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (625/1,378) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Fresno State has forced 10.7 turnovers per game (247 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.