UNLV vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:43 AM
  • Nevada (20-10) is a -6.5 point favorite vs UNLV (18-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
  • UNLV / Nevada TV channel: CBSSN

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (18-9) visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (20-10) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Reno, NV.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The UNLV vs. Nevada Over/Under is 136.5 total points.

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UNLV vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UNLV+6.5 -115O 136.5 -110+220
Nevada -6.5 -105U 136.5 -110-275

UNLV vs Nevada Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Nevada will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UNLV vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Nevada vs UNLV and all games with BetMGM


  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+18.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.55 Units / 51% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has a 19-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.2 Units / 34.29% ROI).

  • 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.4 Units / 32.41% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has a 21-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+11.15 Units / 33.89% ROI).

  • 25-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.95 Units / 15.46% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.75 Units / -17.37% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.75 Units / 8.36% ROI

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has averaged 10.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

UNLV is shooting 34% from three (411/1,199) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

UNLV has an eFG% of 52% this season — 3rd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

UNLV has averaged 15.0 assists per game (301 assists/20 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has a 42% free throw rate (1,310 free throw attempts/3,135 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada has 25.1 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Nevada has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (570 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Nevada has a TS% of 47% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (837 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.3

UNLV has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (139/416) this season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

UNLV has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (468 rebounds/20 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

UNLV has averaged 8.4 steals per game (436 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Nevada has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,589 points/1,348 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Nevada has allowed 66.2 points per game (1,589 points/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.