USC vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 14

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A coach with an Arizona branded tracksuit top holding one finger up in the air
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 14, 2024, 11:29 AM
  • Arizona (20-11) is a -9.5 point favorite vs USC (16-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 157.5 points
  • USC / Arizona TV channel: PAC12

The USC Trojans (16-16) visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the Arizona Wildcats (20-11) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EDT in Las Vegas, NV.

Arizona is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (+100).

The USC vs. Arizona Over/Under is 157.5 total points.

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USC vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
USC+9.5 -120O 157.5 -115+360
Arizona -9.5 +100U 157.5 -105-500

USC vs Arizona Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

USC vs Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 53.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • USC have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+2.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 games (+0.40 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 32 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)

USC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

USC has a 16-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.6 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.65 Units / -19.22% ROI
  • 21-11 when betting the Over for +8.9 Units / 25.25% ROI
  • 11-21 when betting the Under for -12.05 Units / -34.28% ROI

Arizona Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arizona has a 20-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+7.9 Units / 23.17% ROI).

  • 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.25 Units / -11.66% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.46% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -7.49% ROI

USC Offensive Stats & Trends:

USC has averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (293 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for highest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 11.9

USC has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (163 assists/ 142 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

USC has averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,444 points/1,855 shots) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

USC has averaged 16.0 assists per game (352 assists/22 games) this season — 5th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona has averaged 41.4 points per game (2,359 points/57 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 33.9

Arizona has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,805 points/3,519 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Arizona has averaged 84.3 points per game (4,805 points/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 72.4

Arizona has averaged 18.9 assists per game (1,079 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

USC Defensive Stats & Trends:

USC has averaged 6.7 steals per game (148 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

USC has averaged 7.3 steals per game (234 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

USC has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (567/1,416) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

USC has 148 steals this season — 4th most among Pac 12 Teams

Arizona Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,680 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Arizona has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,680 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Arizona has averaged 7.5 steals per game (284 steals/38 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Arizona has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (648 rebounds/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.