Utah State vs Fresno State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 27

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 27, 2024, 10:51 AM
  • Utah State (13-10) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (11-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Utah State / Fresno State TV channel: ESPN+

The Utah State Aggies (13-10) visit Save Mart Center to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (11-15) on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Fresno, CA.

Utah State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Utah State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

Bet now on Fresno State vs Utah State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Utah State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Utah State-11.5 -110O 144.5 -115-700
Fresno State +11.5 -110U 144.5 -105+500

Utah State vs Fresno State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Utah State will win this college basketball game with 87.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Utah State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Utah State will cover the spread with 52.5% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Fresno State vs Utah State and all games with BetMGM


  • Utah State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+3.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Utah State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Utah State has a 11-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / -3.98% ROI).

  • 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.65 Units / 9.72% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 15.53% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -24.24% ROI

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).

  • 9-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -16.61% ROI
  • 15-11 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI
  • 11-15 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI

Utah State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has averaged 16.9 assists per game (964 assists/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Utah State is shooting 32% from three (131/409) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Utah State has averaged 17.1 assists per game (377 assists/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Utah State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (377 assists/ 254 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (298 assists/ 316 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (298 assists/ 316 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (680 assists/ 674 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Fresno State has 16.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6

Utah State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Utah State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (127/449) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Utah State has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Utah State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (590 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2

Utah State has allowed 68.7 points per game (1,511 points/22 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (183/492) this season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (410/1,097) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (625/1,378) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

Fresno State has forced 10.7 turnovers per game (247 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5


Bet now on Fresno State vs Utah State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you don’t have an account, check out BetMGM’s welcome offer.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.