UTSA vs South Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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South Florida guard Selton Miguel, left, drives around Auburn guard Zep Jasper during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Friday, Nov. 11, 2022, in Auburn, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:38 PM
  • South Florida (10-5) is a -9.5 point favorite vs UTSA (9-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 159.5 points
  • UTSA / South Florida TV channel: ESPN+

The UTSA Roadrunners (9-10) visit Yuengling Center to take on the South Florida Bulls (10-5) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Tampa, FL.

South Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The UTSA vs. South Florida Over/Under is 159.5 total points.

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UTSA vs. South Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
UTSA+9.5 -110O 159.5 -110+400
South Florida -9.5 -110U 159.5 -110-550

UTSA vs South Florida Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Florida will win this college basketball game with 80.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

UTSA vs South Florida Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UTSA will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • UTSA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 29 games (+13.55 Units / 40% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UTSA has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 15 away games (+0.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • South Florida have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 28 games (+3.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • South Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+1.85 Units / 9% ROI)

UTSA Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UTSA has a 9-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2 Units / -9.59% ROI).

  • 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -12.77% ROI
  • 13-6 when betting the Over for +6.4 Units / 30.62% ROI
  • 6-13 when betting the Under for -8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI

South Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Florida has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.5 Units / 24% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -9.75% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting the Over for -8.2 Units / -43.73% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting the Under for +6.55 Units / 35.12% ROI

UTSA Offensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has averaged 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (266 rebounds/20 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

UTSA is shooting 41% (1,292/3,121) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

UTSA has made 202 three-pointers this season — most among AAC Teams

UTSA has an eFG% of 48% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

South Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (671/975) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 72%

South Florida is shooting 69% from the free throw line (671/975) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

South Florida is shooting 33% from three (135/406) this season — 4th lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

South Florida is shooting 74% from the free throw line (292/394) this season — 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

UTSA Defensive Stats & Trends:

UTSA has averaged 5.0 steals per game (100 steals/20 games) this season — lowest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

UTSA has averaged 4.6 steals per game (237 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UTSA has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (552 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

UTSA has allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (1,670 points/1,280 shots) this season — highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.19

South Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Florida has 331 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among AAC Teams

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,204/2,801) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

South Florida has allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (3,497 points/2,801 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 1.20

South Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (365/1,078) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd highest among AAC Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.