Vanderbilt vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 9:43 AM
  • Arkansas (12-19) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Vanderbilt (14-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Vanderbilt / Arkansas TV channel: SECN

The Vanderbilt Commodores (14-16) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (12-19) on Mar. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN.

Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-120).

The Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Vanderbilt vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Vanderbilt+5.5 +100O 148.5 -105+220
Arkansas -5.5 -120U 148.5 -115-275

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 70.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Vanderbilt vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Vanderbilt will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt have covered the Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Vanderbilt has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 away games (+2.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Vanderbilt Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Vanderbilt has a 14-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.55 Units / -10.43% ROI).

  • 9-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.75 Units / -24.74% ROI
  • 11-19 when betting the Over for -9.85 Units / -28.84% ROI
  • 19-11 when betting the Under for +7 Units / 20.56% ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a 12-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9 Units / -26.28% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -12.32% ROI
  • 23-8 when betting the Over for +14.2 Units / 41.64% ROI
  • 8-23 when betting the Under for -17.3 Units / -50.73% ROI

Vanderbilt Offensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt is shooting 28% from three (147/519) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Vanderbilt has an eFG% of 45% this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Vanderbilt has averaged 1.05 points per shot (674 points/640 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Vanderbilt is shooting 28% from three (147/519) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9

Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (558 free throw attempts/1,209 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

Vanderbilt Defensive Stats & Trends:

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.5 steals per game (204 steals/37 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Vanderbilt has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (183/491) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Vanderbilt has averaged 6.1 steals per game (135 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Vanderbilt has averaged 5.5 steals per game (322 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (900 points/655 shots) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (84/225) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%

Arkansas has allowed 42.9 points per game (900 points/21 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.