- Duke (16-11) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Virginia (15-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 124.5 points
- Virginia / Duke TV channel: ESPN
The Virginia Cavaliers (15-13) visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the Duke Blue Devils (16-11) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Durham, NC.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Virginia vs. Duke Over/Under is 124.5 total points.
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Virginia vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Virginia | +9.5 -110 | O 124.5 -110 | +375 |
| Duke | -9.5 -110 | U 124.5 -110 | -500 |
Virginia vs Duke Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Virginia vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+5.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+11.95 Units / 3% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+1.95 Units / 1% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI).
- 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 5.95% ROI
- 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.9 Units / -21.46% ROI
- 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 12.3% ROI
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 12.66% ROI).
- 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -2.83% ROI
- 12-16 when betting the Over for -5.55 Units / -18.05% ROI
- 16-12 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 9.08% ROI
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (299 assists/ 189 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (365 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Duke is shooting 41% from three (100/241) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (193 assists/ 102 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Duke is shooting 48% (664/1,374) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6
Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6
Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1
Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (953 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Duke has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,573 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (388/1,242) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Duke has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,843 points/3,406 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.20
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