West Virginia vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 23

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Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 23, 2024, 11:13 AM
  • UCF (10-7) is a -7.5 point favorite vs West Virginia (7-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • West Virginia / UCF TV channel: ESPN+

The West Virginia Mountaineers (7-11) visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights (10-7) on Jan. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.

UCF is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The West Virginia vs. UCF Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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West Virginia vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
West Virginia+7.5 -105O 140.5 -110+290
UCF -7.5 -115U 140.5 -110-375

West Virginia vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UCF will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

West Virginia vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts West Virginia will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • West Virginia have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • West Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)

West Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

West Virginia has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI).

  • 8-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -19.42% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Over for +1.25 Units / 6.33% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Under for -3 Units / -15.11% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.45 Units / 19.66% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -1.94% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.85 Units / -16.06% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 7.98% ROI

West Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

West Virginia averaged 0.93 points per shot (300 points/321 shots) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.17

West Virginia shot 47% (150/321) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 58%

West Virginia shot 47% from inside the arc (150/321) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 58%

West Virginia had an eFG% of 47% in half court possessions last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50%

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (203 assists/ 223 TOs) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCF has an eFG% of 47% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (203 assists/ 223 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

UCF has averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (644 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

West Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

West Virginia allowed opponents to shoot 64% on catch and shoot opportunities (23/36) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

West Virginia allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (1,034 points/765 shots) in the second half last season — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

West Virginia allowed opponents to shoot 56% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (14/25) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

West Virginia allowed opponents to shoot 73% on catch and shoot opportunities (96/132) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 66%

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has averaged 8.1 steals per game (414 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UCF has forced 15.1 turnovers per game (770 turnovers/51 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.4

UCF has 153 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams

UCF has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (115/354) this season — 4th highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 31%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.