Xavier vs Butler Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 13

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Butler head coach Thad Matta argues a call from the sideline during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Xavier, Saturday, March 4, 2023, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
(AP Photo/Joshua A. Bickel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 13, 2024, 9:37 AM
  • Xavier (15-16) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Butler (14-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Xavier / Butler TV channel: FS1

The Xavier Musketeers (15-16) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the Butler Bulldogs (14-16) on Mar. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in New York, NY.

Xavier is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Xavier vs. Butler Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Xavier vs. Butler Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Xavier-1.5 -110O 150.5 -110-125
Butler +1.5 -110U 150.5 -110+105

Xavier vs Butler Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Xavier will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Xavier vs Butler Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Butler will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Xavier has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Xavier has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+9.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Butler has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+3.80 Units / 5% ROI)

Xavier Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Xavier has a 15-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.45 Units / -4.26% ROI).

  • 15-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -13.63% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.75% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -10.29% ROI

Butler Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Butler has a 14-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI).

  • 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.25 Units / 7.93% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -11.16% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.13% ROI

Xavier Offensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,105 assists/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Xavier has 765 assists at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big East Teams

Xavier has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,105 assists/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.1

Xavier has averaged 40.9 points per game (2,496 points/61 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 38.5

Butler Offensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Butler has 15.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.8

Butler is shooting 79% from the free throw line (332/422) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Butler has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (245 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Xavier Defensive Stats & Trends:

Xavier has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (660 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Xavier has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,685 rebounds/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Xavier has averaged 7.0 steals per game (167 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Xavier has averaged 6.6 steals per game (403 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Butler Defensive Stats & Trends:

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (185/596) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 34%

Butler has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (156/494) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

Butler has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (3,889 points/3,364 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Butler has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,715 points/1,490 shots) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.