Youngstown State vs Detroit Mercy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 20

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Detroit Mercy head coach Mike Davis reacts after a foul call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against YOungstown State in the quarterfinals of the Horizon League tournament Thursday, March 2, 2023, in Youngstown, Ohio.
(AP Photo/David Dermer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2024, 11:57 AM
  • Youngstown State (8-7) is a -10.5 point favorite vs Detroit Mercy (5-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Youngstown State / Detroit Mercy TV channel: ESPN+

The Youngstown State Penguins (8-7) visit Calihan Hall to take on the Detroit Mercy Titans (5-14) on Jan. 20. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

Youngstown State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).

The Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Youngstown State vs. Detroit Mercy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Youngstown State-10.5 -105O 147.5 -105-550
Detroit Mercy +10.5 -115U 147.5 -115+400

Youngstown State vs Detroit Mercy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Youngstown State will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Youngstown State vs Detroit Mercy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Youngstown State will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Youngstown State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Youngstown State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Youngstown State has hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Detroit Mercy has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Youngstown State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Youngstown State has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 11.32% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.75 Units / -10.64% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 1.81% ROI

Detroit Mercy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Detroit Mercy has a 4-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.4 Units / -54.55% ROI).

  • 0-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.25 Units / -100% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Over for -0.9 Units / -4.31% ROI
  • 9-9 when betting the Under for -0.85 Units / -4.07% ROI

Youngstown State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Youngstown State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (312 assists/ 199 TOs) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Youngstown State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (832 assists/ 562 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Youngstown State has averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (199 turnovers/19 games) this season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Youngstown State has averaged 1.30 points per shot (4,318 points/3,324 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Detroit Mercy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy has averaged 1.10 points per shot (1,196 points/1,090 shots) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Detroit Mercy is shooting 26% from three (104/399) this season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Detroit Mercy is shooting 40% (431/1,090) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 45%

Detroit Mercy is shooting 40% (431/1,090) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Youngstown State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Youngstown State has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (510 rebounds/19 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.5

Youngstown State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,317 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.7

Youngstown State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (1,341 points/1,171 shots) this season — best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 1.27

Youngstown State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (488/1,171) this season — best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Detroit Mercy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Detroit Mercy has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,129 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Detroit Mercy has averaged 20.3 defensive rebounds per game (386 rebounds/19 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.5

Detroit Mercy has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,129 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.7

Detroit Mercy has allowed opponents to shoot 44% from three (44/101) this season — 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.